Tuesday, December 3, 2013

Nick Young Could Win the Sixth Man of the Year Award

Nick Young is really something, isn't he? Coming into this year, he was one of the most one-dimensional
players on the Lakers roster, providing offense and not much else. Surprisingly, this hasn't been the case to start the year, as Young has amassed a 0.3 DWS, which doesn't seem like much (admittedly, it isn't), but it's only 0.7 DWS away from matching his career high and we're only 18 games into the season. At the very least, Young is trying to play defense, which is all we can ask for out of him. So while Young is on pace to set his highest DWS in his career, he's also putting up his highest PER ever at 16.4 to go along with a career-high WS/48 of .116. Young is putting up 14.2 points per game on 44.1% shooting and having a career-best 20.4 points per 36 minutes of game time. The big observation here is the difference in production between him starting and him coming off the bench. It's remarkable how large the difference is, it's almost as if we're looking at an entirely different player.



G GS FG% 3P% FT% TS% USG% ORtg DRtg PTS AST REB
Starter 6 6 33.3% 23.5% 86.4% 47.2% 22.1 92 106 9.5 2.5 0.5
Bench 11 0 47.4% 41.3% 76.2% 58.0% 22.4 117 109 16.5 1.6 1.5

While there are some stats that hardly change, namely the Usage % and the small difference between assists per game and rebounds per game, most of the numbers indicate Young being substantially better with the second unit than with the starters. His 47.4% field goal percentage from the floor marks an major improvement in both shot selection and shot creation, and has improved his True Shooting Percentage by a wide margin, as well as having a very good, very sustainable shooting percentage from three point range. The biggest difference comes in Offensive Rating, where Young went from a horrid 92 to a very impressive 117. For reference, his 117 Offensive Rating would rank just below Denver's Ty Lawson and Oklahoma City's Kevin Durant and place him 21st in the league. 

So while Young has been very productive off the bench, we do have to take into account the rest of league's top reserves. Here's the top 5 so far: 

  1. Ryan Anderson, NOP: We've talked about Anderson before, during last season's Pau Gasol Trade Rumors debacle. Anderson is one of the most underrated players in the league, quite possibly in NBA history. Anderson is the league leader in Offensive Rating with an absolutely ridiculous 135 rating. For reference, Michael Jordan's highest O Rating was a "mere" 125. Anderson's WS/48 is currently at .231, which would sandwich him at 7th between Minnesota's Kevin Love and Houston's James Harden. That is some elite company, to say the least. Anderson is averaging 22.6 points per game on 51.6% shooting and hauling in 5.5 rebounds per game. Normally, Anderson would be running away with the award, but since Anthony Davis broke his left hand yesterday, Anderson will be moved into the starting lineup and may not qualify for the award with Davis expected to miss 4-6 weeks. 
  2. Isaiah Thomas, SAC: This leads us to our front runner due to injury, Isaiah Thomas (no, not that Isiah Thomas). Thomas isn't nearly as impressive as Anderson, but is still a solid candidate to win it. His .145 WS/48 is the highest in his career, as is his surprisingly good 21.1 PER, which ranks him 17th, ahead of Washington's John Wall and Portland's LaMarcus Aldridge and just below New York's Carmelo Anthony. Thomas is averaging 17.1 points and 4.6 assists per game in 28 minutes of playing time. It's safe to say that he should be getting a few extra minutes in there as he has been the Kings' second best player to start the year. 
  3. Rodney Stuckey, DET: Another player having a career year, Stuckey has career highs in WS/48 (.156), PER (20.4), Offensive Rating (114) and points per game (16.9), all while shooting an efficient 49% from the floor. Stuckey is leading the team in scoring and has the second best PER and WS/48 on the team, behind the hulking Andre Drummond, and has easily been Detroit's best perimeter player this year. 
  4. Jamal Crawford, LAC: Crawford is a player who has been Top-5 in Sixth man of the year voting for the past five years in a row, and won the award in 2009-2010 with the Atlanta Hawks. Like Young, Crawford was a player known for not playing defense, when he finally started to display a more complete game in 2009. Crawford has a PER of 17.7 and a WS/48 of .111 while averaging 16 points on 45.2% shooting. He's not a front runner at the moment, but is still in the conversation. 
  5. Jeremy Lin, HOU: It would seem as though Lin has fallen a bit, going from Linsanity in New York, to starting point guard in Houston, to losing the starting job to Patrick Beverley. Lin, however, has been a lot more effective in a scoring role off the bench, having a career high .166 WS/48 and averaging 15.3 points per game on 50.3% shooting. The only knock on Lin has to be his turnovers; he's averaging the same amount as last year (2.9), but his assists have dropped by nearly 2 whole assists per game (it was 6.1 last year, it's 4.6 this year). Those are some awful numbers for a point guard. 

Young has some stiff competition for the award, but if he keeps playing like this, it's certainly obtainable for him. I can only imagine how much better he could be playing once Kobe Bryant finally makes his way back. It's almost seems ridiculous that Young was had for the veteran minimum this off season, and his play has largely contributed to the Lakers having one of the best second units in the league.